What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Michael Jackson

Closes Jun 17, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 7.0K Open interest 62.3K Event Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in June?

50%

implied YES probability

Last 18 days · High 99% · Low 48% · 7d -1.0pp

Spread 0.0¢ · Mid 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.