What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Toby Keith

Closes Jul 09, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 34.6K Open interest 34.8K Event Artist(s) with a #1 Song on Spotify USA: July

50%

implied YES probability

Last 16 days · High 99% · Low 20% · 7d +22.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.