What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Justin Bieber

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 665 Open interest 2.3K Event Who will have a #1 song on Spotify USA in June?

4%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 63% · Low 2% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.