What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Illinois

Closes Nov 01, 2026 (137d) 24h volume 968 Open interest 9.4K Event Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

4%

implied YES probability

Last 43 days · High 12% · Low 4% · 7d -19.6pp · 30d -53.9pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.