What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Texas

Closes Nov 01, 2026 (114d) 24h volume 32 Open interest 14.0K Event Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

96%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Last 56 days · High 98% · Low 93% · 7d -0.2pp · 30d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.