What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 86%, implying a 86% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Virginia HJR 1

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (503d) 24h volume 542 Open interest 848 Event Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?

86%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 88% · Low 82%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.