What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before election day 2026

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 126 Open interest 52.0K Event Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

implied YES probability

+0.8pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 18% · Low 7% · 7d -25.0pp · 30d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.