What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 87%, implying a 87% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 52000

Closes Mar 31, 2028 (630d) 24h volume 93 Open interest 3.5K Event Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026

87%

implied YES probability

+43.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 96% · Low 47% · 7d -44.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.