What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 49%, implying a 49% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2035. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before 2035

Closes Jan 01, 2035 (3120d) 24h volume 46 Open interest 16.8K Event Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

49%

implied YES probability

Last 78 days · High 52% · Low 42% · 7d +0.2pp · 30d +11.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.