What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

above 38.5 billion

Closes Aug 29, 2026 (73d) 24h volume 8 Open interest 585 Event Roku hours streamed in Q2

30%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 34% · Low 22% · 7d +22.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.