What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 04, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before November 4, 2028

Closes Nov 04, 2028 (848d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 7.6K Event Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?

10%

implied YES probability

Last 19 days · High 15% · Low 5% · 7d +57.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.