What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 19, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Carlos Vila Nova

Closes Jul 19, 2027 (374d) 24h volume 26 Open interest 26 Event São Toméan presidential election winner?

92%

implied YES probability

+92.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 91% · Low 91%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.