What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 09, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Mac Deford

Closes Jun 09, 2027 (357d) 24h volume 52 Open interest 4.7K Event SC-01 Democratic nominee?

11%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 49% · Low 7% · 7d -26.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.