What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 09, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Mark Smith

Closes Jun 09, 2027 (357d) 24h volume 1.1K Open interest 18.7K Event SC-01 Republican nominee?

46%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 55 days · High 95% · Low 6% · 7d -20.0pp · 30d -35.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.