What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 28, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Larry Rhoden, 3-6%

Closes Jul 28, 2027 (383d) 24h volume 325 Open interest 339 Event South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?

10%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 10% · Low 2%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.