What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Adam Hamilton

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 280 Open interest 6.1K Event Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

88%

implied YES probability

Last 40 days · High 89% · Low 78% · 7d +8.6pp · 30d +2.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.