What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Jamie Davis

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 112 Open interest 7.4K Event Louisiana Democratic Senate nominee?

96%

implied YES probability

+0.7pp 24h

Last 68 days · High 97% · Low 69% · 7d +2.8pp · 30d +27.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.