What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Michele Tafoya

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 15 Open interest 15.4K Event Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

90%

implied YES probability

Last 47 days · High 97% · Low 72% · 7d +4.8pp · 30d +14.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.