What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Michael B. Jordan

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 51 Open interest 5.1K Event People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026

28%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 62 days · High 35% · Low 11% · 7d -18.2pp · 30d +3.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.