What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 89%, implying a 89% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 23, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Christine Erickson

Closes Jun 23, 2027 (348d) 24h volume 640 Open interest 663 Event Sioux Falls mayor winner

89%

implied YES probability

+29.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 96% · Low 61%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.