What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 94%, implying a 94% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Above 12

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 2.9K Open interest 14.9K Event How many launches will SpaceX have in July?

94%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 94% · Low 80% · 7d +8.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.