What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before 2030

Closes Jan 01, 2030 (1294d) 24h volume 250 Open interest 22.2K Event Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

26%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 76 days · High 32% · Low 24% · 7d -9.4pp · 30d -9.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.