What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before Oct 1, 2026

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (105d) 24h volume 2.9K Open interest 6.1K Event When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

10%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 26% · Low 9% · 7d -29.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.