What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 35 Open interest 536 Event How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

22%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 66% · Low 16%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.