What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

At least $500

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume — Open interest 1.1K Event How much will the Steam Machine cost?

98%

implied YES probability

Last 17 days · High 99% · Low 91% · 7d +2.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.