What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 30, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Swedish Social Democratic Party

Closes Sep 30, 2027 (470d) 24h volume 300 Open interest 2.0K Event Who will win the next Swedish general election?

90%

implied YES probability

-2.3pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 92% · Low 89%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.