What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 26, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Neutrality Initiative

Closes Sep 26, 2027 (443d) 24h volume 155 Open interest 153 Event Swiss initiatives: September 2026

24%

implied YES probability

+24.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.