What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Above 10k

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 57 Open interest 902 Event How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

30%

implied YES probability

Last 11 days · High 69% · Low 33% · 7d -38.9pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.