What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 31, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Elon Musk

Closes Jan 31, 2030 (1324d) 24h volume 143 Open interest 5.4K Event Time's Person of the Decade

34%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 52 days · High 37% · Low 28% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +9.1pp

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.