What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Tom Davis

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 17 Open interest 1.5K Event TN-04 Republican nominee?

implied YES probability

Last 7 days · High 5% · Low 2%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.