What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

More than 4 weeks

Closes Dec 21, 2026 (186d) 24h volume 822.7K Open interest 2.1M Event Iceman: Consecutive weeks at #1

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 53 days · High 38% · Low 2% · 7d -75.0pp · 30d -86.7pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.