What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

claude-fable-5

Closes Jul 13, 2026 (3d) 24h volume 902 Open interest 5.7K Event Top AI model this week

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 8% · Low 6%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.