What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 275

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 27 Open interest 337 Event Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 29% · Low 3% · 7d -41.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.