What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Closes Sep 16, 2026 (91d) 24h volume 250 Open interest 1.4K Event How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 21% · Low 1% · 7d -94.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.