What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Russia / Russian

Closes Jul 30, 2026 (20d) 24h volume 137 Open interest 137 Event What will Trump say during the Defense and Innovation Summit?

42%

implied YES probability

+46.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 41% · Low 41%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.