What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Democrat

Closes Aug 14, 2026 (58d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 35 Event What will Trump say during his podcast with The Second Lady?

46%

implied YES probability

-33.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 85% · Low 33%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.