What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Gulf of America

Closes Jul 09, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 72 Open interest 1.2K Event What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?

30%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 38% · Low 24%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.