What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Cognitive

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 300 Open interest 1.2K Event What will Trump say in July?

78%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 80% · Low 70% · 7d -2.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.