What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Above 39.9%

Closes Jun 19, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 370 Open interest 1.7K Event Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/12-6/19)?

88%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 85% · Low 72%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.