What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 1.75 million

Closes Mar 31, 2028 (653d) 24h volume 200 Open interest 2.8K Event Tesla total deliveries in 2026

16%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 14% · Low 7%

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.