kalshi
Sports
Will Paddy Pimblett win the Saint-Denis vs Pimblett professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?
Paddy Pimblett
44%
implied YES probability
-1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 10 days ·
High 47% ·
Low 44%
· 7d -4.3pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the Saint-Denis vs Pimblett professional MMA fight, scheduled for July 11, 2026, currently indicates a 44% probability that Paddy Pimblett will emerge victorious. This assessment is informed by known facts about the fighters' past performances and skill levels. The current price of 0.45 reflects market participants' collective view on the likelihood of Pimblett's win. Any significant changes to this assessment would likely require new information about either fighter's training, injuries, or other factors that could impact their performance in the fight. As the event approaches, further updates and developments may influence the market price, potentially shifting the probability of Pimblett's victory up or down.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.0¢ | 14595 | 44.0¢ | 122723 | |
| 42.0¢ | 3968 | 45.0¢ | 168591 | |
| 41.0¢ | 3792 | 46.0¢ | 4172 | |
| 40.0¢ | 1993 | 47.0¢ | 2483 | |
| 39.0¢ | 1754 | 48.0¢ | 6182 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 43.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.