What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Mario Bautista

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 14.7K Open interest 58.8K Event 329: Sandhagen vs Bautista

44%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 45% · Low 41% · 7d +9.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.