kalshi
Sports
Will Gable Steveson win the Steveson vs Ellison professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?
Gable Steveson
92%
implied YES probability
-1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 10 days ·
High 93% ·
Low 88%
· 7d +4.5pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the Steveson vs Ellison professional MMA fight, scheduled for July 11, 2026, indicates a strong likelihood of Gable Steveson emerging victorious, with a current YES price of 0.92, implying a 92% probability. This assessment is informed by known facts about the fighters' past performances and skill sets. The market's confidence in Steveson's chances may be influenced by his recent success in the sport, as well as any perceived advantages he may hold over Ellison. A change in the fighters' training regimens or any new information about their physical condition could potentially impact the price of the YES outcome, causing it to rise if Steveson appears more likely to win or fall if doubts arise about his ability to secure a victory.
Generated Jul 08, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.0¢ | 8060 | 92.0¢ | 13303 | |
| 90.0¢ | 10376 | 93.0¢ | 2776 | |
| 89.0¢ | 88 | 94.0¢ | 3338 | |
| 88.0¢ | 500 | 95.0¢ | 8081 | |
| 87.0¢ | 325 | 96.0¢ | 8627 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 91.5¢
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