What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Kyoji Horiguchi

Closes Jul 05, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 15.1K Open interest 25.3K Event UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi

42%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 42% · Low 39%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.