What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Jon Jones

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 2.2K Open interest 16.5K Event UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?

implied YES probability

Last 9 days · High 3% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.