What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Magomed Ankalaev

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 1.5K Open interest 25.9K Event UFC Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?

implied YES probability

-10.0pp 24h

Last 30 days · High 55% · Low 1% · 7d -90.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.