What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Kai Kamaka III by Decision

Closes Jul 25, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 1.2K Open interest 1.2K Event Luke Riley vs. Kai Kamaka III: Method of Victory

18%

implied YES probability

+19.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.