What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Paddy Pimblett by Submission

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 20.5K Open interest 20.7K Event Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett: Method of Victory

14%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 13% · Low 13%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.