What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Conor McGregor to win in Round 1

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 5.8K Open interest 6.2K Event Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway: Round of Victory

12%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 15% · Low 15%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.