What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 05, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Rafael Grossi

Closes Jan 05, 2027 (202d) 24h volume — Open interest 9.4K Event Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?

56%

implied YES probability

Last 53 days · High 80% · Low 42% · 7d +1.8pp · 30d -1.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.